Predicting the future: How it works and why it fails

Event probability

We want to talk to you about event probability, which is a key process in understanding the way the universe works. It is something which most people know very little about, but it determines outcomes and it is a process which is an integral part of how life unfolds.

So to start with we would say that outcomes are never pre-determined: you can never say with 100% certainty exactly what is going to happen at any given point. Anyone who maintains that they have the ability to do so is in fact misleading you, because it is not the way things work.

At any given point in time there are a certain number of outcomes which are possible; say at the point of a key decision, there are a certain number of outcomes, a certain number of results which can be achieved at any point in time. And each of these possible outcomes has attached to it a probability. I think we’ve probably described this process to you on a number of occasions but it is certainly worth re-iterating.

The way in which the probability, the percentage, is arrived at is very interesting, because this represents the likelihood of this option occurring over and above the other possible outcomes. It is slightly difficult to describe lucidly in words. The probabilities, the percentages, the actual figures themselves attached to each event, are derived by a mixture of historical experience and future probable outcomes.

So with knowledge of what has gone before, combined with a knowledge of what is yet to come in the future, each outcome has a probability tag attached to it: and that’s how it works. Of course, one of the key determinants in all of this process, one of the key inputs to all of this process, is that of free will. And at all times, in all situations, free will is sacrosanct. There is never any point in time where mankind, collectively, cannot exercise free will.

As we’ve explained to you before on a number of occasions, mankind is free to come to any decision he chooses: whether it is good, bad or indifferent is irrelevant. It is always within his power to make decisions based upon any view, any feeling, any desire, or any motivation. So, this is one of the reasons why progress, or what we would like to call progress, can often be so tortuously slow. Because key decisions can be made in a number of ways, outcomes are unpredictable; outcomes are often not in the best interests of man, but this is all part of the learning process. So free will is if you like the ‘joker in the pack’ and is something which always applies, whatever mankind is making decisions about. So the decision making process: the potential outcomes have percentage figures attached to them as to their likelihood, and as you can imagine as events impinge upon one another and decisions interact, there are many overlapping events and the whole process can become extremely complicated – indeed it is extremely complicated to trace the threads which connect different events over time.

The whole process is complex; it is also a difficult one to describe clearly in words. It is often very difficult for us to describe processes we know intimately in well constructed and sensible sentences. This communication process begins to break down under the stresses and complication of the process.

But essentially to sum up the paper; it is historical inputs and future information which are combined, if you like, to attach the various percentage figures which determine the likely outcome of any particular event; always bearing in mind that this whole process is constantly influenced or determined or checked if you like, by free will: it does not move in sensible straight lines; it tends to be a rather unpredictable and slightly chaotic process, as decisions are made for all sorts of reasons, not necessarily those which have the best interests of man, or of the planet in mind.

So, this has been quite a difficult topic to cover in this way, because of the complexities and the problems of converting those into sensible wording. But we will return with similar papers in the future, which will cover all aspects of the growth of the individual and potentially more and more esoteric types of material as well.

Altering Outcomes

“Can human actions even at this late stage alter outcomes such that events become difficult to predict?”

We’re gathered together here to answer this question for you and unsurprisingly our initial comment would be yes and no.

There are a number of key factors that need to be explained here; so we will take a few steps back if you like. Event probability is something we’ve covered on a number of occasions in the past and it basically states very simply that the possible outcomes, at certain key decision making stages, are determined by the history and the most likely shape of the future.

This is a very simplified version of how this operates but essentially it allows a percentage probability to be attached to each of the possible outcomes. As time progresses and as more key decision making points are passed in this process, then the outcome becomes more and more certain.

You get to the point eventually where, as you are close to the final outcome, the variables – the inputs to this process – become fewer and fewer and the most likely outcome becomes more and more certain, and may move towards a figure of one hundred percent say. That said there is never a situation where a figure of one hundred percent certainty can be applied to any particular outcome; there is always the smallest possibility that this outcome will not be achieved. We hope this has to some extent clarified the whole process; the process which determines likely outcomes.

You have to add into this mix of course free will. The whole aspect of man’s free will is intricately woven into this process, and it is for this reason that event probability exists in the way that it does, because there is no way that we can pre-determine – with a one hundred percent guarantee – the outcome of a sequence of events and decisions.

This is due to the fact that man operates within his own sphere of influence: he can be guided; he can be provided with information; all sorts of things can take place which will try to ensure that the outcome, which we know is in man’s best interest is achieved; but there is no guarantee that this is the way events will proceed.

So in the overall scheme of things, you are now at this point in time in the year 2020 right in the middle of this period of change: this extremely dynamic and fast moving period of wide-reaching change in every aspect of life on Earth: This is now fully underway. So to a great extent outcomes are pre-determined as far as that ever can be the case, because they are virtually upon you, and the opportunities for man to “interfere” are extremely limited.

So if we had been asking this question many years ago, maybe hundreds of years ago, then at that point potentially many more options would have been on the table if that makes sense. As you are now effectively in this tumultuous period of change these options have been much reduced due to the passage of time, and decisions made in that last hundred years.

This is the reason long term predictions often fail but short term predictions often succeed.

So hopefully it becomes apparent to you that free will is woven into this process. However there are now a number of outcomes which are essentially assured and such things as the period of dim light, which will be precipitated by volcanic action - we’ve covered this in quite some detail – is virtually guaranteed to happen. The shift in the rotational axis, and all of the outcomes dependent upon this, are essentially guaranteed, but not at that one hundred percent level as we have just mentioned.

So does this make the prediction of events more difficult? Again yes and no. the difficulties arise when there are multiple inputs to key decision points, but as you can imagine this is a very complicated process as there are connecting lines – there are lines of influence – which flow from all key decisions during this period, and if you were to put together a diagram to try to represent this visually, it would be one which humans would be unable to comprehend. The sheer number of possible connections and influencing activities is too great.

That said the fact that you are now actually in the middle of the changes means that a great many of the decisions which would have influenced outcomes have now been made, are now passed, and so our ability to predict events is for this period of the upheavals, the changes, much less complicated.

So as you can see it is a very challenging period; it is a very challenging task to co-ordinate all aspects of what most people see as random activity, when in fact there are some very simply and straightforward natural laws which govern these processes and which are adhered to always.

So it is still very difficult to make this point to the average person, that there is no element of luck as it were; there is no randomness involved in what is happening. It does all actually follow very straightforward and simple rules without exception but which is not yet known to man.

We hope very much that this has clarified some of the major issues here; although we understand that the complicated nature of this process can make some aspects of it rather difficult to grasp.

The Earth Shift

Author: The Earth Shift

Stay in touch with the latest news and subscribe to the RSS Feed about this category

Be the first to comment on this article

Add a comment This post's comments feed

HTML code is displayed as text and web addresses are automatically converted.

No attachment



You might also like

Interpretation of a Dream

Many years ago, in my dream I saw two beings, one wearing a hooded black robe and another one a hooded white robe taking me into the space above the earth, holding my hands while we were looking down to the earth and something was happening there. They were telling me something but I don't remember. What could that mean? #thehighersources interpretes

Continue reading

Heaven, Our Home - Part-IV

In the Part-IV of the series, #thehighersources answer a large number of questions about Heaven and Reincarnation and also clarifies some commonly held misconceptions

Continue reading